Elon
CAA · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#31
+6.4 pts · likely #20–57
Strength of schedule
34.5
#51 of 129
Strength of victory
24.5
#31
Record SOS
0.476
Opp. 47.6% · Opp. opp. 47.5%
Remaining SOS
28.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Davidson | W 55-7 | −24.8 | −2.2 | 0.007 | 4 | +8.5 |
| 3 | at Western Carolina | W 37-31 | +6.8 | +2.2 | 0.502 | 1 | +14.9 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 16-26 | +5.4 | +2.2 | 0.464 | 2 | −1.7 |
| 5 | vs Hampton | W 41-20 | −11.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Maine · p 0.361
- Wk 11: vs Rhode Island · p 0.463
- Wk 12: at Campbell · p 0.233
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.077
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 17-45