William & Mary
CAA · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#41
+4.8 pts · likely #23–66
Strength of schedule
30.0
#73 of 129
Strength of victory
21.4
#39
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 55.3% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
22.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Furman | L 21-23 | −3.3 | +2.2 | 0.248 | 3 | −2.7 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 28-27 | +0.7 | −2.2 | 0.238 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 34-7 | −2.8 | −2.2 | 0.170 | 3 | +19.7 |
| 5 | at Villanova | L 24-31 | +14.2 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at New Hampshire · p 0.448
- Wk 10: vs UAlbany · p 0.049
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.233
- Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.106
- Wk 13: vs Richmond · p 0.284
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at VirginiaFBS · L 16-55