Villanova
CAA · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 23% of the time
Power
#14
+13.8 pts · likely #7–30
Strength of schedule
38.7
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
33.5
#13
Record SOS
0.585
Opp. 61.7% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
44.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +1.4 | −2.2 | 0.253 | 2 | +6.1 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +12.2 | +2.2 | 0.645 | 1 | −1.3 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +3.8 | −2.2 | 0.308 | 2 | +9.5 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +8.2 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs UAlbany · p 0.049
- Wk 11: at Towson · p 0.362
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.357
- Wk 13: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.166
- Wk 14: vs Harvard · p 0.702
- Wk 15: at Lehigh · p 0.718
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.861
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.367
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52