Colgate
Patriot · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#56
+1.3 pts · likely #36–84
Strength of schedule
34.9
#47 of 129
Strength of victory
17.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
33.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Holy Cross · p 0.326
- Wk 10: vs Merrimack · p 0.158
- Wk 11: at Lafayette · p 0.468
- Wk 12: vs Lehigh · p 0.607
- Wk 13: vs Bucknell · p 0.102
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at SyracuseFBS · L 24-66