Fordham
Patriot · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#96
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#103
−8.5 pts · likely #78–117
Strength of schedule
41.4
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
26.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
30.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Fordham. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Monmouth | L 28-49 | +14.5 | −2.2 | 0.589 | 1 | −8.8 |
| 3 | at Stony Brook | L 18-41 | +4.8 | +2.2 | 0.448 | 2 | −14.9 |
| 4 | at Colgate | L 21-44 | +0.9 | +2.2 | 0.346 | 2 | −19.4 |
| 5 | vs Holy Cross | W 26-21 | +1.9 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Lehigh · p 0.607
- Wk 10: at Richmond · p 0.394
- Wk 11: vs Bucknell · p 0.102
- Wk 12: at Georgetown · p 0.190
- Wk 13: at Merrimack · p 0.243
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Boston CollegeFBS · L 10-66