Lafayette
Patriot · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#40
+5.3 pts · likely #22–65
Strength of schedule
15.5
#122 of 129
Strength of victory
14.8
#54
Record SOS
0.472
Opp. 43.6% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
40.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Stonehill | W 42-26 | −7.4 | +2.2 | 0.168 | 3 | +9.5 |
| 3 | at Georgetown | W 42-37 | −6.8 | +2.2 | 0.179 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 4 | vs Columbia | W 38-14 | −2.9 | −2.2 | 0.169 | 3 | +17.0 |
| 5 | vs Princeton | L 28-38 | −1.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Holy Cross · p 0.326
- Wk 11: vs Colgate · p 0.275
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.394
- Wk 13: vs Lehigh · p 0.607
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · L 7-26
- Wk 8: at Oregon StateFBS · L 13-45