Stonehill
NEC · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#107
−8.7 pts · likely #79–116
Strength of schedule
38.5
#27 of 129
Strength of victory
27.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.568
Opp. 62.4% · Opp. opp. 45.5%
Remaining SOS
14.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stonehill. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Sacred Heart | L 7-12 | −2.8 | +2.2 | 0.259 | 2 | −6.0 |
| 2 | vs Lafayette | L 26-42 | +4.8 | −2.2 | 0.332 | 2 | −12.9 |
| 3 | at Maine | W 13-10 | +4.3 | +2.2 | 0.434 | 2 | +7.1 |
| 4 | vs Penn | L 21-24 | +7.1 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Mercyhurst · p 0.263
- Wk 10: vs Robert Morris · p 0.057
- Wk 11: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.305
- Wk 12: at Wagner · p 0.097
- Wk 13: vs Saint Francis · p 0.025