Penn
Ivy · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 48% of the time
Power
#39
+5.6 pts · likely #20–66
Strength of schedule
31.5
#64 of 129
Strength of victory
21.6
#38
Record SOS
0.619
Opp. 61.7% · Opp. opp. 62.3%
Remaining SOS
40.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Yale · p 0.594
- Wk 10: vs Brown · p 0.239
- Wk 11: vs Cornell · p 0.121
- Wk 12: at Harvard · p 0.798
- Wk 13: vs Princeton · p 0.248