Dartmouth
Ivy · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#30
+6.5 pts · likely #18–62
Strength of schedule
34.3
#52 of 129
Strength of victory
32.5
#15
Record SOS
0.596
Opp. 63.3% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
32.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dartmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | W 27-20 | +5.3 | −2.2 | 0.343 | 2 | +9.4 |
| 5 | at Central Connecticut State | W 35-28 | −0.5 | +2.2 | 0.312 | 2 | +8.6 |
| 6 | at Penn | L 24-36 | +3.6 | +2.2 | 0.416 | 2 | −4.2 |
| 7 | vs Yale | W 17-16 | +10.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Columbia · p 0.137
- Wk 10: at Harvard · p 0.798
- Wk 11: vs Princeton · p 0.248
- Wk 12: vs Cornell · p 0.121
- Wk 13: at Brown · p 0.343