Stony Brook
CAA · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#37
+5.8 pts · likely #21–63
Strength of schedule
29.5
#76 of 129
Strength of victory
14.2
#56
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 53.9% · Opp. opp. 51.6%
Remaining SOS
29.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Rhode Island | L 17-31 | +8.2 | −2.2 | 0.418 | 2 | −6.4 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | W 41-18 | −7.6 | −2.2 | 0.101 | 3 | +12.3 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 27-30 | −1.5 | +2.2 | 0.287 | 2 | −0.7 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 35-10 | −1.0 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.255
- Wk 10: at Maine · p 0.361
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.077
- Wk 12: at Villanova · p 0.678
- Wk 13: vs Bryant · p 0.090
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 0-42