Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#78
−3.2 pts · likely #51–103
Strength of schedule
34.7
#49 of 129
Strength of victory
14.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 54.0% · Opp. opp. 39.8%
Remaining SOS
20.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 16-14 | −0.4 | −2.2 | 0.215 | 3 | −0.8 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | L 10-35 | +3.7 | +2.2 | 0.417 | 2 | −16.9 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 24-7 | −11.0 | −2.2 | 0.066 | 4 | +3.4 |
| 7 | vs Maine | L 13-20 | +0.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Colgate · p 0.385
- Wk 11: at New Haven · p 0.073
- Wk 12: at Sacred Heart · p 0.253
- Wk 13: vs Fordham · p 0.089
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kent StateFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: vs St. AnselmDII · W 31-6
- Wk 3: at Kennesaw StateFBS · L 13-27