Wagner
NEC · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#114
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#115
−11.9 pts · likely #92–122
Strength of schedule
13.7
#125 of 129
Strength of victory
5.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.349
Opp. 34.4% · Opp. opp. 36.1%
Remaining SOS
18.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Georgetown | L 20-31 | −6.6 | +2.2 | 0.183 | 3 | −15.4 |
| 3 | vs Marist | L 10-21 | −12.8 | −2.2 | 0.051 | 4 | −24.9 |
| 5 | vs Norfolk State | W 18-13 | −12.0 | −2.2 | 0.058 | 4 | −9.2 |
| 7 | vs Mercyhurst | L 7-19 | −3.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Duquesne · p 0.508
- Wk 10: at Saint Francis · p 0.050
- Wk 11: at Robert Morris · p 0.101
- Wk 12: vs Stonehill · p 0.095
- Wk 13: at Long Island · p 0.175
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 7-46
- Wk 4: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-49