Murray State
MVFC · 0-5 vs FCS · 0-7 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#104
−8.5 pts · likely #76–116
Strength of schedule
56.6
#4 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.630
Opp. 72.0% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
49.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Tennessee State | L 17-45 | +5.0 | +2.2 | 0.454 | 2 | −19.7 |
| 2 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | L 24-45 | +15.5 | −2.2 | 0.615 | 1 | −8.3 |
| 6 | at South Dakota | L 24-49 | +9.0 | +2.2 | 0.560 | 1 | −12.9 |
| 7 | vs Illinois State | L 32-46 | +6.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.576
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.585
- Wk 11: at Northern Iowa · p 0.333
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.709
- Wk 13: at Indiana State · p 0.259
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-37
- Wk 4: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 10-45