North Dakota State
MVFC · 7-0 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 0.1% of the time
Power
#2
+26.4 pts · likely #1–4
Strength of schedule
49.7
#8 of 129
Strength of victory
49.7
#1
Record SOS
0.728
Opp. 77.7% · Opp. opp. 62.9%
Remaining SOS
57.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Tennessee State | W 52-3 | −1.3 | −1.8 | 0.206 | 3 | +31.8 |
| 3 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-35 | +6.4 | +1.8 | 0.479 | 2 | +12.6 |
| 4 | vs Towson | W 41-24 | −0.7 | −1.8 | 0.218 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 42-10 | +10.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Murray State · p 0.180
- Wk 10: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.242
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.649
- Wk 13: at South Dakota · p 0.846
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.387
- Wk 16: vs Mercer · p 0.541
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota State · p 0.940
- Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.824
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ColoradoFBS · L 26-31