North Dakota
MVFC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 20% of the time
Power
#7
+14.7 pts · likely #5–31
Strength of schedule
38.3
#32 of 129
Strength of victory
28.2
#26
Record SOS
0.600
Opp. 61.4% · Opp. opp. 57.2%
Remaining SOS
59.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana | W 27-24 | +14.4 | −1.8 | 0.599 | 1 | +15.4 |
| 3 | vs Idaho State | W 52-28 | +1.2 | −1.8 | 0.258 | 2 | +22.1 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 41-24 | −5.9 | −1.8 | 0.129 | 3 | +10.0 |
| 5 | vs Murray State | W 72-35 | −4.4 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.493
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.214
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.940
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.782
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.522
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21