San Diego
Pioneer · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#71
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#91
−5.2 pts · likely #58–110
Strength of schedule
23.6
#100 of 129
Strength of victory
6.0
#71
Record SOS
0.423
Opp. 37.0% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
9.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | W 27-21 | −4.9 | −1.8 | 0.144 | 3 | −1.6 |
| 4 | at North Dakota | L 24-41 | +15.8 | +1.8 | 0.721 | 1 | −0.5 |
| 5 | at Drake | L 28-30 | −1.4 | +1.8 | 0.278 | 2 | −2.5 |
| 6 | vs Presbyterian | W 27-21 OT | −17.6 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.107
- Wk 10: vs Davidson · p 0.106
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.216
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.009
- Wk 13: at Morehead State · p 0.051
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 26-7