Drake
Pioneer · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#74
−2.3 pts · likely #50–102
Strength of schedule
29.8
#64 of 129
Strength of victory
19.4
#52
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 46.9% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
15.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Washington | W 35-32 OT | +8.6 | +1.8 | 0.538 | 1 | +10.8 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | L 3-42 | +20.6 | +1.8 | 0.818 | 1 | −11.8 |
| 5 | vs San Diego | W 30-28 | −5.5 | −1.8 | 0.135 | 3 | −5.0 |
| 6 | at Valparaiso | W 27-3 | −23.5 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.007
- Wk 11: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.107
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.031
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.017
- Wk 14: at Tarleton State · p 0.624