Butler
Pioneer · 2-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#89
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#73
−2.1 pts · likely #45–103
Strength of schedule
14.7
#125 of 129
Strength of victory
11.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.512
Opp. 56.3% · Opp. opp. 41.1%
Remaining SOS
6.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Murray State | W 19-17 | −6.4 | +1.8 | 0.178 | 3 | −2.9 |
| 6 | vs Morehead State | W 40-6 | −13.7 | −1.8 | 0.049 | 4 | +15.8 |
| 7 | at Drake | L 17-27 | −3.2 | +1.8 | 0.239 | 3 | −10.5 |
| 8 | vs Dayton | L 14-21 | −6.4 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Davidson · p 0.156
- Wk 10: vs Stetson · p 0.009
- Wk 11: at Valparaiso · p 0.017
- Wk 12: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.069
- Wk 13: at Presbyterian · p 0.057
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Upper IowaDII · W 40-7
- Wk 3: vs HanoverDIII · W 53-0
- Wk 5: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 63-0