Morehead State
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−16.4 pts · likely #107–126
Strength of schedule
27.4
#76 of 129
Strength of victory
2.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.376
Opp. 30.0% · Opp. opp. 52.7%
Remaining SOS
17.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Montana | L 2-59 | +14.1 | +1.8 | 0.679 | 1 | −19.1 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 13-42 | +5.4 | +1.8 | 0.449 | 2 | −21.8 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | W 17-5 | −23.6 | −1.8 | 0.010 | 4 | −13.4 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 6-40 | −5.6 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Dayton · p 0.216
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.069
- Wk 11: at Davidson · p 0.156
- Wk 12: at Drake · p 0.268
- Wk 13: vs San Diego · p 0.143
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 17-10
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 48-7