Dayton
Pioneer · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#86
−4.2 pts · likely #56–109
Strength of schedule
14.3
#127 of 129
Strength of victory
13.2
#62
Record SOS
0.405
Opp. 37.3% · Opp. opp. 46.7%
Remaining SOS
6.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saint Francis | W 18-10 | −9.6 | −1.8 | 0.083 | 4 | −3.8 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | L 13-24 | −5.9 | +1.8 | 0.186 | 3 | −13.8 |
| 5 | at Marist | W 47-14 | −23.7 | +1.8 | 0.018 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 7 | vs Davidson | W 16-14 | −8.2 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Morehead State · p 0.031
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.057
- Wk 11: vs San Diego · p 0.143
- Wk 12: vs Valparaiso · p 0.009
- Wk 13: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.107
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Ave MariaNon-NCAA · W 49-7