Northern Iowa
MVFC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#58
+0.5 pts · likely #36–91
Strength of schedule
51.2
#6 of 129
Strength of victory
5.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.594
Opp. 66.0% · Opp. opp. 46.1%
Remaining SOS
52.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Valparaiso | W 35-7 | −23.8 | −1.8 | 0.009 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 2 | at St. Thomas (MN) | W 17-10 | −11.6 | +1.8 | 0.100 | 3 | −1.3 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 3-41 | +33.0 | −1.8 | 0.935 | 1 | −3.6 |
| 7 | at South Dakota | L 17-42 | +22.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Missouri State · p 0.649
- Wk 10: at North Dakota State · p 0.907
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.427
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.493
- Wk 13: vs Indiana State · p 0.151
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 3-34
- Wk 4: at Hawai'iFBS · L 7-36