South Dakota State
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 10% of the time
Power
#1
+33.2 pts · likely #1–2
Strength of schedule
55.4
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
47.0
#2
Record SOS
0.679
Opp. 69.3% · Opp. opp. 65.1%
Remaining SOS
59.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Incarnate Word | W 45-24 | +14.1 | −1.8 | 0.591 | 1 | +33.3 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 41-0 | +8.2 | +1.8 | 0.527 | 1 | +43.2 |
| 6 | at Northern Iowa | W 41-3 | +1.1 | +1.8 | 0.339 | 2 | +37.2 |
| 7 | vs Youngstown State | W 63-13 | +7.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs South Dakota · p 0.782
- Wk 10: vs Murray State · p 0.124
- Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.703
- Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.299
- Wk 13: at Missouri State · p 0.733
- Wk 15: vs Montana · p 0.597
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.592
- Wk 17: at North Dakota State · p 0.907
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 20-44
- Wk 3: vs Augustana University (SD)DII · W 24-3