Youngstown State
MVFC · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#36
+6.9 pts · likely #15–58
Strength of schedule
52.4
#4 of 129
Strength of victory
7.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.611
Opp. 67.9% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
44.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Villanova | L 17-24 | +9.4 | +1.8 | 0.560 | 1 | +4.0 |
| 2 | vs Valparaiso | W 59-25 | −23.9 | −1.8 | 0.009 | 4 | +8.6 |
| 3 | vs Duquesne | L 25-28 | +9.4 | −1.8 | 0.465 | 2 | +4.5 |
| 5 | at Missouri State | L 31-38 | +17.0 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota · p 0.616
- Wk 10: at Illinois State · p 0.522
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.387
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.242
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at PittsburghFBS · L 17-73