Incarnate Word
Southland · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 54% of the time
Power
#10
+14.1 pts · likely #5–30
Strength of schedule
35.3
#36 of 129
Strength of victory
23.7
#40
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 51.0% · Opp. opp. 56.1%
Remaining SOS
41.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −9.8 | −1.8 | 0.081 | 4 | +10.1 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +33.7 | +1.8 | 0.964 | 1 | +13.9 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | +0.4 | +1.8 | 0.322 | 2 | −2.7 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +9.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.485
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.160
- Wk 11: vs Lamar · p 0.175
- Wk 12: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.506
- Wk 13: at East Texas A&M · p 0.133
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.475
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.964