Nicholls State
Southland · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#56
+0.9 pts · likely #35–89
Strength of schedule
26.4
#83 of 129
Strength of victory
8.0
#70
Record SOS
0.385
Opp. 35.3% · Opp. opp. 44.9%
Remaining SOS
30.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 7-34 | +6.0 | +1.8 | 0.468 | 2 | −17.1 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 66-0 | −23.9 | −1.8 | 0.009 | 4 | +8.8 |
| 6 | at Southern | W 51-7 | −4.5 | +1.8 | 0.213 | 3 | +28.4 |
| 7 | at Incarnate Word | L 10-55 | +11.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs McNeese · p 0.250
- Wk 10: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.412
- Wk 11: at Houston Christian · p 0.225
- Wk 12: at Lamar · p 0.244
- Wk 13: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.391
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Louisiana TechFBS · L 17-25
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 21-44