Southern
SWAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#104
−8.4 pts · likely #74–116
Strength of schedule
22.2
#105 of 129
Strength of victory
14.2
#61
Record SOS
0.516
Opp. 53.9% · Opp. opp. 47.0%
Remaining SOS
22.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | L 7-21 | +0.5 | +1.8 | 0.323 | 2 | −12.7 |
| 3 | at Jackson State | L 15-33 | +4.6 | +1.8 | 0.428 | 2 | −10.6 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-24 OT | −11.5 | +1.8 | 0.102 | 3 | −6.4 |
| 6 | vs Nicholls State | L 7-51 | −4.2 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Florida A&M · p 0.398
- Wk 10: at Alabama A&M · p 0.195
- Wk 11: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.043
- Wk 12: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.035
- Wk 14: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.213
- Wk 15: at Jackson State · p 0.440
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Savannah StateDII · W 42-10