Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#108
−9.1 pts · likely #79–118
Strength of schedule
50.8
#7 of 129
Strength of victory
55.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 43.1%
Remaining SOS
45.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 7-28 | +14.7 | +1.8 | 0.695 | 1 | −5.2 |
| 3 | vs Abilene Christian | L 22-24 | +8.2 | −1.8 | 0.432 | 2 | +2.7 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 7-48 | +4.4 | +1.8 | 0.424 | 2 | −26.2 |
| 5 | vs Cal Poly | L 7-28 | −9.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Montana · p 0.597
- Wk 10: at UC Davis · p 0.586
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.387
- Wk 12: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.399
- Wk 13: at Portland State · p 0.281
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-38