Weber State
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#43
+5.7 pts · likely #21–64
Strength of schedule
30.0
#63 of 129
Strength of victory
34.9
#8
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 38.3% · Opp. opp. 53.8%
Remaining SOS
35.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 43-16 | +1.9 | −1.8 | 0.275 | 2 | +24.5 |
| 3 | at Lamar | L 16-17 | −4.4 | +1.8 | 0.216 | 3 | −2.3 |
| 4 | at Northwestern State | W 39-0 | −17.9 | +1.8 | 0.044 | 4 | +17.2 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | L 26-28 | −0.5 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.493
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.233
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.561
- Wk 13: vs Cal Poly · p 0.134
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at WashingtonFBS · L 3-35