Portland State
Big Sky · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#65
−0.7 pts · likely #43–97
Strength of schedule
55.2
#3 of 129
Strength of victory
33.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.604
Opp. 69.7% · Opp. opp. 41.9%
Remaining SOS
44.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Weber State | L 16-43 | +3.9 | +1.8 | 0.412 | 2 | −19.6 |
| 5 | at Chattanooga | L 30-45 | +15.5 | +1.8 | 0.714 | 1 | +1.8 |
| 6 | vs UC Davis | L 26-27 | +11.7 | −1.8 | 0.526 | 1 | +8.0 |
| 7 | at Idaho State | W 42-38 | +1.1 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Sacramento State · p 0.551
- Wk 11: vs Idaho · p 0.466
- Wk 12: at Montana · p 0.686
- Wk 13: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.088
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Washington StateFBS · L 30-70
- Wk 4: at Boise StateFBS · L 14-56