Chattanooga
Southern · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 42% of the time
Power
#6
+15.1 pts · likely #5–29
Strength of schedule
34.8
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
31.1
#12
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 54.7% · Opp. opp. 57.0%
Remaining SOS
28.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Mercer | L 3-10 | +10.7 | −1.8 | 0.499 | 2 | +2.8 |
| 5 | vs Portland State | W 45-30 | −1.9 | −1.8 | 0.196 | 3 | +12.5 |
| 6 | at East Tennessee State | W 17-10 | +9.3 | +1.8 | 0.557 | 1 | +16.6 |
| 7 | at Furman | W 41-10 | −2.1 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs VMI · p 0.034
- Wk 10: at Western Carolina · p 0.495
- Wk 11: at The Citadel · p 0.139
- Wk 12: vs Samford · p 0.391
- Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.362
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TennesseeFBS · L 3-69
- Wk 2: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-24