Mercer
Southern · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#15
+11.6 pts · likely #8–40
Strength of schedule
26.6
#82 of 129
Strength of victory
24.8
#38
Record SOS
0.464
Opp. 45.2% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
40.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −15.3 | −1.8 | 0.039 | 4 | +17.7 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −13.7 | +1.8 | 0.078 | 4 | +16.7 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +17.0 | +1.8 | 0.747 | 1 | +23.8 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −9.5 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Western Carolina · p 0.401
- Wk 10: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.449
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.056
- Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.155
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.449
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.907