East Tennessee State
Southern · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 47% of the time
Power
#30
+7.8 pts · likely #12–61
Strength of schedule
51.3
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
35.9
#7
Record SOS
0.620
Opp. 64.7% · Opp. opp. 56.6%
Remaining SOS
30.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota State | L 35-38 | +28.6 | −1.8 | 0.887 | 1 | +21.6 |
| 4 | at Elon | W 34-14 | +9.1 | +1.8 | 0.550 | 1 | +28.0 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 34-17 | −8.6 | +1.8 | 0.142 | 3 | +9.6 |
| 6 | vs Chattanooga | L 10-17 | +14.5 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Wofford · p 0.263
- Wk 10: at Mercer · p 0.634
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.401
- Wk 12: vs Furman · p 0.155
- Wk 13: at VMI · p 0.056
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at App StateFBS · L 10-38
- Wk 2: vs UVA WiseDII · W 61-0