Elon
CAA · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#41
+6.2 pts · likely #17–64
Strength of schedule
43.7
#18 of 129
Strength of victory
54.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.597
Opp. 68.3% · Opp. opp. 42.4%
Remaining SOS
29.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | W 41-19 | +14.6 | +1.8 | 0.691 | 1 | +34.0 |
| 3 | vs Western Carolina | L 17-24 | +5.8 | −1.8 | 0.369 | 2 | −1.1 |
| 4 | vs East Tennessee State | L 14-34 | +5.3 | −1.8 | 0.357 | 2 | −14.0 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | L 17-27 | +6.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Hampton · p 0.327
- Wk 10: vs Campbell · p 0.181
- Wk 11: at William & Mary · p 0.547
- Wk 12: vs Maine · p 0.330
- Wk 13: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.072
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 3-26