UAlbany
CAA · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#54
+2.1 pts · likely #30–80
Strength of schedule
28.7
#73 of 129
Strength of victory
20.9
#48
Record SOS
0.453
Opp. 36.1% · Opp. opp. 63.7%
Remaining SOS
46.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Long Island | W 27-21 | −5.7 | −1.8 | 0.132 | 3 | −1.6 |
| 3 | at Idaho | L 13-41 | +6.6 | +1.8 | 0.483 | 2 | −17.2 |
| 5 | vs Maine | L 20-34 | +2.5 | −1.8 | 0.288 | 2 | −10.9 |
| 6 | at Cornell | W 31-10 | −0.1 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Delaware · p 0.695
- Wk 10: vs New Hampshire · p 0.458
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.390
- Wk 12: at Rhode Island · p 0.544
- Wk 13: vs Hampton · p 0.246
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at West VirginiaFBS · L 14-49