Idaho
Big Sky · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 42% of the time
Power
#24
+9.0 pts · likely #11–53
Strength of schedule
45.5
#16 of 129
Strength of victory
33.1
#9
Record SOS
0.614
Opp. 71.4% · Opp. opp. 41.5%
Remaining SOS
40.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs UAlbany | W 41-13 | +4.1 | −1.8 | 0.326 | 2 | +28.3 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | W 27-24 | +6.7 | +1.8 | 0.487 | 2 | +11.2 |
| 5 | at UC Davis | L 26-28 | +10.5 | +1.8 | 0.589 | 1 | +10.5 |
| 6 | vs Northern Arizona | W 23-17 | +7.2 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.387
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.281
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.384
- Wk 13: at Idaho State · p 0.312
- Wk 15: vs Lehigh · p 0.237
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.853
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 14-24
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · W 17-13