Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#37
+6.5 pts · likely #17–64
Strength of schedule
45.5
#15 of 129
Strength of victory
29.0
#22
Record SOS
0.534
Opp. 51.4% · Opp. opp. 57.4%
Remaining SOS
31.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −11.3 | +1.8 | 0.104 | 3 | +17.4 |
| 4 | at Incarnate Word | L 14-38 | +12.1 | +1.8 | 0.629 | 1 | −8.2 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | W 34-16 | +12.5 | −1.8 | 0.547 | 1 | +24.4 |
| 6 | at Idaho | L 17-23 | +9.2 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.384
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.192
- Wk 12: at Northern Colorado · p 0.133
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.387
- Wk 14: at Abilene Christian · p 0.480
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22