Abilene Christian
UAC · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#39
+6.4 pts · likely #18–63
Strength of schedule
32.2
#52 of 129
Strength of victory
29.1
#21
Record SOS
0.492
Opp. 44.0% · Opp. opp. 59.4%
Remaining SOS
54.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs West Georgia | W 38-24 | −0.9 | −1.8 | 0.214 | 3 | +10.5 |
| 3 | at Northern Colorado | W 24-22 | −11.1 | +1.8 | 0.107 | 3 | −5.4 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 24-27 | +9.2 | −1.8 | 0.459 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 5 | at Utah Tech | W 55-30 | −11.7 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Southern Utah · p 0.467
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.362
- Wk 12: at Tarleton State · p 0.624
- Wk 13: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.506
- Wk 14: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.399
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.907
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 51-52