Central Arkansas
UAC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 54% of the time
Power
#14
+11.9 pts · likely #6–38
Strength of schedule
24.4
#96 of 129
Strength of victory
20.5
#49
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 50.3% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
39.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lindenwood | W 34-13 | −1.5 | +1.8 | 0.277 | 2 | +19.8 |
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-17 | +4.5 | −1.8 | 0.336 | 2 | +28.9 |
| 4 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 56-17 | −14.5 | +1.8 | 0.070 | 4 | +20.9 |
| 5 | vs Lamar | W 34-14 | −2.6 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.304
- Wk 10: at Utah Tech · p 0.088
- Wk 11: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.471
- Wk 12: vs Southern Utah · p 0.467
- Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.624
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 31-34