Austin Peay
UAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#52
+2.6 pts · likely #30–80
Strength of schedule
31.6
#55 of 129
Strength of victory
20.9
#47
Record SOS
0.429
Opp. 32.5% · Opp. opp. 63.6%
Remaining SOS
46.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Southern Illinois | L 17-31 | +0.6 | −1.8 | 0.245 | 3 | −13.2 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | L 17-45 | +10.3 | +1.8 | 0.583 | 1 | −14.4 |
| 4 | vs Alabama A&M | W 59-16 | +1.6 | −1.8 | 0.267 | 2 | +28.9 |
| 5 | vs Southern Utah | L 17-28 | +8.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Tarleton State · p 0.531
- Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.392
- Wk 11: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.387
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.378
- Wk 13: vs Chattanooga · p 0.613
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at LouisvilleFBS · L 0-62