Southern Illinois
MVFC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#53
+2.5 pts · likely #27–81
Strength of schedule
59.3
#1 of 129
Strength of victory
53.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.734
Opp. 85.0% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
48.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | W 31-17 | +4.4 | +1.8 | 0.425 | 2 | +18.4 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | W 35-28 | +16.5 | −1.8 | 0.652 | 1 | +19.3 |
| 4 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-38 | +10.2 | −1.8 | 0.485 | 2 | −7.9 |
| 5 | at South Dakota | L 13-42 | +20.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Indiana State · p 0.214
- Wk 10: at Missouri State · p 0.733
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.399
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.964
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.124
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41