Southern Utah
UAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#19
+10.0 pts · likely #9–49
Strength of schedule
41.9
#24 of 129
Strength of victory
42.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.620
Opp. 71.0% · Opp. opp. 44.1%
Remaining SOS
35.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs UC Davis | L 21-24 | +9.9 | −1.8 | 0.477 | 2 | +6.0 |
| 4 | at Idaho State | L 28-38 | −2.8 | +1.8 | 0.247 | 3 | −8.4 |
| 5 | at Austin Peay | W 28-17 | +2.9 | +1.8 | 0.384 | 2 | +15.4 |
| 6 | vs Tarleton State | L 37-38 OT | +11.8 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at West Georgia · p 0.275
- Wk 10: at Abilene Christian · p 0.480
- Wk 11: vs North Alabama · p 0.304
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.646
- Wk 13: vs Utah Tech · p 0.056
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UtahFBS · L 0-49
- Wk 2: at UTEPFBS · W 27-24