Tarleton State
UAC · 6-0 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 8.8% of the time
Power
#13
+12.0 pts · likely #7–39
Strength of schedule
31.4
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
31.4
#11
Record SOS
0.567
Opp. 52.2% · Opp. opp. 65.8%
Remaining SOS
42.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 26-23 | −0.5 | −1.8 | 0.222 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 2 | at Houston Christian | W 35-18 | −3.3 | +1.8 | 0.238 | 3 | +14.4 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 28-14 | +4.2 | +1.8 | 0.418 | 2 | +19.4 |
| 5 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 36-33 | +6.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.362
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.378
- Wk 11: at West Georgia · p 0.275
- Wk 12: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.387
- Wk 13: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.554
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.195
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.846
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BaylorFBS · L 3-45