Arkansas-Pine Bluff
SWAC · 1-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#121
−15.8 pts · likely #104–126
Strength of schedule
24.8
#92 of 129
Strength of victory
7.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 39.6%
Remaining SOS
16.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs (N) Tennessee State | L 28-41 | −1.8 | 0.0 | 0.233 | 3 | −14.5 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | L 17-56 | +11.4 | −1.8 | 0.519 | 1 | −24.9 |
| 6 | at Alcorn State | L 28-38 | −8.2 | +1.8 | 0.148 | 3 | −16.0 |
| 7 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 21-17 | −10.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.008
- Wk 10: at Jackson State · p 0.440
- Wk 11: vs Alabama A&M · p 0.136
- Wk 12: at Southern · p 0.136
- Wk 13: vs Texas Southern · p 0.122
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs (N) ArkansasFBS · L 0-70
- Wk 2: vs Arkansas BaptistNon-NCAA · W 73-0