North Carolina Central
MEAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#18
+10.3 pts · likely #8–49
Strength of schedule
20.4
#115 of 129
Strength of victory
18.8
#53
Record SOS
0.370
Opp. 26.0% · Opp. opp. 58.9%
Remaining SOS
14.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Alabama State | W 31-24 | −1.4 | 0.0 | 0.240 | 3 | +6.6 |
| 2 | vs Elon | L 19-41 | +1.7 | −1.8 | 0.270 | 2 | −17.6 |
| 4 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 66-24 | −12.5 | −1.8 | 0.057 | 4 | +19.3 |
| 5 | vs (N) Norfolk State | W 37-10 | −7.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Morgan State · p 0.150
- Wk 10: at South Carolina State · p 0.282
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.102
- Wk 13: at Delaware State · p 0.056
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at North CarolinaFBS · L 10-45
- Wk 7: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 68-0