Furman
Southern · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#105
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#85
−4.1 pts · likely #57–107
Strength of schedule
27.4
#77 of 129
Strength of victory
7.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.431
Opp. 41.4% · Opp. opp. 46.6%
Remaining SOS
35.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Charleston Southern | L 20-24 | −11.7 | −1.8 | 0.063 | 4 | −15.9 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 48-7 | −21.0 | −1.8 | 0.016 | 4 | +10.2 |
| 4 | at William & Mary | L 24-34 | +9.7 | +1.8 | 0.567 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 6 | at The Citadel | W 17-16 | −9.0 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at VMI · p 0.056
- Wk 11: vs Wofford · p 0.191
- Wk 12: at East Tennessee State · p 0.544
- Wk 13: at Mercer · p 0.634
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 0-76