St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#101
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#111
−10.1 pts · likely #81–120
Strength of schedule
9.7
#128 of 129
Strength of victory
1.5
#73
Record SOS
0.252
Opp. 11.7% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
16.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | L 10-17 | +0.9 | −1.8 | 0.253 | 2 | −8.3 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 0-64 | −6.0 | +1.8 | 0.184 | 3 | −36.2 |
| 6 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −25.0 | −1.8 | 0.008 | 4 | −14.8 |
| 7 | at Marist | W 39-32 | −26.4 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs San Diego · p 0.143
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.051
- Wk 11: vs Drake · p 0.195
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.269
- Wk 13: vs Dayton · p 0.153
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Sioux FallsDII · L 13-34
- Wk 3: vs Black Hills StateDII · W 24-14