Towson
CAA · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#60
+0.0 pts · likely #40–93
Strength of schedule
42.0
#23 of 129
Strength of victory
26.0
#37
Record SOS
0.627
Opp. 68.9% · Opp. opp. 50.4%
Remaining SOS
33.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 14-9 | −5.0 | −1.8 | 0.143 | 3 | −1.8 |
| 3 | at Villanova | L 13-14 | +11.3 | +1.8 | 0.610 | 1 | +10.0 |
| 4 | at North Dakota State | L 24-41 | +28.2 | +1.8 | 0.923 | 1 | +11.2 |
| 6 | vs William & Mary | W 34-27 | +11.1 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.622
- Wk 10: at Richmond · p 0.512
- Wk 11: vs Hampton · p 0.246
- Wk 12: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.045
- Wk 13: at Campbell · p 0.251
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CincinnatiFBS · L 20-38