Stony Brook
CAA · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 53% of the time
Power
#51
+2.8 pts · likely #30–80
Strength of schedule
24.7
#93 of 129
Strength of victory
21.2
#45
Record SOS
0.456
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 58.9%
Remaining SOS
39.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | W 37-10 | −16.5 | −1.8 | 0.032 | 4 | +8.0 |
| 3 | at Fordham | W 27-21 | −8.8 | +1.8 | 0.138 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 4 | at Campbell | W 24-17 | −2.2 | +1.8 | 0.261 | 2 | +5.9 |
| 5 | vs Morgan State | W 22-3 | −2.5 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs William & Mary · p 0.452
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.180
- Wk 11: vs UAlbany · p 0.259
- Wk 12: at New Hampshire · p 0.553
- Wk 13: vs Monmouth · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 3-45