Missouri State
MVFC · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#66
+0.1 pts · likely #39–92
Strength of schedule
39.4
#15 of 130
Strength of victory
33.2
#6
Record SOS
0.540
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 53.7%
Remaining SOS
26.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Central Arkansas | W 27-14 | +8.3 | +1.9 | 0.532 | 1 | +20.6 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 35-30 | +6.5 | −1.9 | 0.383 | 2 | +7.8 |
| 4 | vs South Dakota State | L 14-28 | +15.3 | −1.9 | 0.618 | 1 | −1.4 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 31-48 | +5.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.353
- Wk 12: at Indiana State · p 0.170
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArkansasFBS · L 27-38