North Dakota
MVFC · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 37% of the time
Power
#33
+6.2 pts · likely #16–58
Strength of schedule
37.4
#22 of 130
Strength of victory
33.0
#9
Record SOS
0.579
Opp. 59.3% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
53.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | W 29-27 | +7.9 | −1.9 | 0.419 | 2 | +7.3 |
| 3 | at Northern Arizona | W 27-24 | −1.7 | +1.9 | 0.276 | 2 | +3.4 |
| 4 | at Southern Illinois | L 17-34 | +3.8 | +1.9 | 0.412 | 2 | −10.0 |
| 5 | vs Missouri State | W 48-31 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota · p 0.216
- Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.690
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.684
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NebraskaFBS · L 17-38